Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021795 0.023418 0.025109 0.027003 0.029068 0.031254 0.033745
2024-10-20 0.018709 0.020988 0.023485 0.026432 0.029826 0.033623 0.038211
2024-10-27 0.017086 0.019803 0.022897 0.026700 0.031270 0.036616 0.043387
2024-11-03 0.015755 0.018743 0.022252 0.026707 0.032254 0.038986 0.047858
2024-11-10 0.014862 0.018081 0.021965 0.027037 0.033551 0.041722 0.052880
2024-11-17 0.013833 0.017149 0.021241 0.026718 0.033941 0.043261 0.056395
2024-11-24 0.013040 0.016444 0.020731 0.026598 0.034527 0.045032 0.060276
2024-12-01 0.012250 0.015683 0.020085 0.026231 0.034723 0.046246 0.063420
2024-12-08 0.011713 0.015213 0.019782 0.026284 0.035462 0.048211 0.067721
2024-12-15 0.011086 0.014583 0.019220 0.025932 0.035591 0.049294 0.070774
2024-12-22 0.010461 0.013922 0.018576 0.025417 0.035437 0.049932 0.073167
2024-12-29 0.009987 0.013441 0.018150 0.025180 0.035657 0.051110 0.076438
2025-01-05 0.009532 0.012971 0.017721 0.024920 0.035834 0.052242 0.079740
2025-01-12 0.009019 0.012393 0.017111 0.024358 0.035517 0.052588 0.081786
2025-01-19 0.008780 0.012198 0.017040 0.024591 0.036423 0.054881 0.087191
2025-01-26 0.008494 0.011918 0.016830 0.024596 0.036962 0.056610 0.091754
2025-02-02 0.008308 0.011776 0.016815 0.024895 0.037976 0.059159 0.097916
2025-02-09 0.007979 0.011406 0.016438 0.024605 0.038015 0.060082 0.101246
2025-02-16 0.007717 0.011126 0.016185 0.024496 0.038338 0.061493 0.105550
2025-02-23 0.007415 0.010774 0.015806 0.024163 0.038264 0.062209 0.108604
2025-03-02 0.007223 0.010582 0.015666 0.024211 0.038832 0.064068 0.113952
2025-03-09 0.006956 0.010264 0.015315 0.023892 0.038747 0.064756 0.117072
2025-03-16 0.006671 0.009906 0.014886 0.023424 0.038376 0.064899 0.119117